Florida Gators Suspensions Moving the Spread

On Sunday (8/13) afternoon, it was announced that 7 Gators football players were suspended for their Week 1 opener against Michigan, including star junior WR Antonio Callaway. Joining Callaway are junior defensive end Keivonnis Davis, redshirt sophomore defensive end Richerd Desir-Jones, freshman offensive lineman Kadeem Telfort, redshirt freshman defensive lineman Jordan Smith and freshman linebackers Ventrell Miller and James Houston.

Callaway is the key piece though and a big part of their offense:

The opener is set for Saturday, September 2nd at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. Both teams have a bit of a starting QB battle, with Malik Zaire the frontrunner for Florida and Wilton Speight the favorite for Michigan.

Betting Odds: The game was taken off the board Sunday night into Monday morning, but BetOnline left odds up throughout. They listed Michigan -3 (-125 juice) vs. Florida. The Wolverines originally opened -5 back in June and had moved to -2.5 around the market. However, we figured the suspension announcement would have more of an impact around the market and we were right:

Bookmaker re-opens #Florida +3.5. They originally opened +5 and had moved to +2.5.https://t.co/fUJXKGHZIB https://t.co/3nXztGW3Ql

— Sports Insights (@SportsInsights) August 14, 2017

Some of the market like Westgate and Ceasers in Nevada have re-opened the line even higher at Florida +4. The Gators’ futures remain unchanged which was to be expected. Even if the spread had moved a few points, we likely wouldn’t have seen any changes in terms of NCAA Title odds, SEC Title odds, Win Total OU, etc.

Market Betting %’s: Michigan has been getting 78% of early spread bets, but the line moved 2.5 points away from them before the suspension announcement. This means that sharper money was taking the Gators at +5, +4.5, +4 and +3.5 to bring the line down. Now that the Gators will be missing a key piece among others, they’ve re-opened +3.5. We’d fully expect the heavy majority of tickets to still come in on Michigan.

Track all the latest odds, betting %’s, line moves and more from our Free College Football Odds page.

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